Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
Penta Kill or Bust: The Rarest Bird in League of Legends
If you have ever watched competitive League of Legends, you know that a Penta Kill - one player eliminating all five enemies in quick succession - is the kind of moment that sends commentators into full meltdown mode and gets clipped approximately ten thousand times before the game even ends. It is spectacular, it is rare, and right now, Polymarket is asking whether one will happen in Game 2 of an upcoming match. The short answer, according to the market, is almost certainly not.
The market sits at the intersection of esports fandom and probability thinking. Penta Kills at the professional level are genuinely uncommon. Unlike solo queue, where players can sometimes stumble into a five-man wipeout through sheer chaos, pro players tend to rotate, disengage, and generally avoid feeding a single enemy the entire team on a silver platter. That baseline rarity is exactly what makes this market worth a closer look.
What the Market Is Saying
At 0.4% for "Yes" and 99.6% for "No", the market is about as one-sided as it gets without being completely closed. Trading volume over the past 24 hours is a modest $7.82, which tells you this is not exactly drawing a crowd of degenerate esports degenerates. The price reflects a near-consensus view: Penta Kills in professional play are rare enough that betting on one in any specific game is a long shot even on a good day.
The key scenario for a "Yes" resolution would require a catastrophic team fight collapse - five enemies clumped together, a fed carry with a full item build, and just enough chaos for one player to clean up every single kill. It happens, but professionals spend a lot of time making sure it does not happen to them. The "No" scenario, meanwhile, just requires the match to play out like... a normal professional League of Legends game.
There are some edge cases worth noting. If Game 2 is never played because the series is decided early, or if there is a forfeit or disqualification, the market resolves at 50-50 rather than "No". That is the one scenario where the "Yes" position would not be a total loss, though at 0.4%, participants seem to have priced even that possibility as barely worth mentioning.
What to Keep in Mind
Penta Kill markets like this one are essentially novelty bets on lightning striking a specific spot at a specific time. The market appears to reflect genuine rarity rather than any inside knowledge about the teams involved. If you are watching Game 2 and a Penta Kill does happen, you will almost certainly know before the market resolves - and the clip will find you regardless.
FAQ
Q: What exactly counts as a Penta Kill in this market?
A: A Penta Kill happens when a single player eliminates all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession during a League of Legends game. Any player on either team can trigger a "Yes" resolution - it does not matter which side of the map it happens on, as long as it occurs within Game 2.
Q: What happens if Game 2 is never played at all?
A: If Game 2 is skipped for any reason - whether that is a forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or because one team already clinched the series before Game 2 was needed - the market resolves at 50-50. The same applies if the match is cancelled outright or delayed more than 7 days from its scheduled date.
Q: How is the result determined if the game is stopped early or remade?
A: If Game 2 ends via surrender before completion, the market resolves based on whether a Penta Kill occurred before the stoppage - if none did, it resolves "No". If the game is remade for any reason, only the remade version counts for resolution purposes, and any events from the original attempt are disregarded.
What traders are saying
There is not much visible discussion around "Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?" on Polymarket yet - at least among the most upvoted comments.
