Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
Open on Polymarket →Event Resolved
The total kills in Game 3 came out to an odd number, confirming the winning outcome. Traders were already heavily leaning in this direction, with 90% odds favoring an odd result when the article was written, and that confidence only grew to 100% by the time the market resolved. The crowd called this one correctly, and the final result left no room for doubt.
When the Market Makes Up Its Mind Before the Game Does
Cloud9 and LYON are squaring off in what appears to be a best-of-three series, and Polymarket has set up a market on something delightfully granular: whether the total champion kills in Game 3 will land on an odd or even number. It's the kind of market that sounds like a coin flip but somehow ends up anything but, at least according to current prices.
The context here matters. Game 3 only happens if the series is tied heading into it, which already introduces a layer of uncertainty. Add to that the inherent randomness of League of Legends kill counts, and you'd expect this market to sit somewhere near 50-50. Which makes what's actually happening on the price board rather remarkable.
A Market That Has Apparently Seen Enough
Right now, Odd is priced at essentially 1.00, implying a near-certain 100% probability that the total kills in Game 3 will be an odd number. Even sits at a rounding-error 0.1%. This is not a market gently leaning one way - this is a market that has apparently already filed the paperwork. Either Game 3 has already been played and the result is known, or a very determined group of traders has collectively decided that even numbers are simply not welcome here. Given the low 24-hour trading volume of just under $40, this looks more like a resolved or near-resolved situation than an active debate.
The rules specify that only champion kills count - deaths caused by turrets, minions, or jungle monsters don't get tallied. So the final number depends purely on kills between the two teams' champions. One extra kill at the end of a fight, one more assassination in a chaotic teamfight, and the parity flips entirely. Historically, kill counts in competitive LoL tend to cluster in ranges that give both outcomes a reasonable shot, which is why a 100-0 split is striking.
The single user comment floating around - a birthday wish for someone to "make their day" - is either the most wholesome market commentary ever posted, or a subtle hint that the commenter already knows the result and is feeling generous. Either way, it does not move the needle analytically.
What to Keep in Mind
If you're watching this market, the key thing to note is that extreme price skews like this usually mean the event has already concluded or information has leaked into the market well ahead of formal resolution. The low volume supports that reading. The official resolution source is gol.gg, and if Game 3 was never played because the series ended in two games, the market resolves 50-50 - not Odd. So that 100% Odd reading implies Game 3 was indeed played and the kill total came out odd. Treat this less as a live prediction and more as a market in its final moments of bookkeeping.
FAQ
Q: What counts as a "kill" for this market's resolution?
A: Only champion kills count - specifically, any kill where an enemy champion receives credit for eliminating an opponent. Executions do not count. If a player dies to a turret, minion, or neutral monster with no enemy champion getting kill credit, that death is excluded from the total. The final number is the combined kill count for both Cloud9 and LYON across the entire Game 3 match.
Q: What happens if Game 3 is never played?
A: If Game 3 is skipped for any reason - whether the series is already decided before it becomes necessary, or the game is canceled, forfeited, or delayed more than 7 days from its scheduled date - the market resolves to 50-50. The same applies if a team receives a walkover or is disqualified. Essentially, if no actual game is played, neither "Odd" nor "Even" wins outright.
Q: Where does the official kill count come from, and what if the game is remade?
A: The primary data source is gol.gg, the official esports statistics platform. If gol.gg has not published results within 2 hours of the match ending, a consensus of credible reporting will be used as a fallback. In the event of a remake, only the remade game's kill total matters - the original, abandoned game is disregarded entirely for resolution purposes.
What traders are saying
Looking at what traders are saying about "Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?" on Polymarket, a few recurring ideas stand out:
- "my birthday wish is for anyone to make my day 🥺🎂"
Taken together these quotes give a quick snapshot of how the crowd currently thinks about this market.
